Chinese memory chipmaker ChangXin Memory Technologies Inc. is launching a blockbuster initial public offering (IPO) on Shanghai’s tech-focused STAR Board to raise nearly $10 billion, one of the largest in Asian history and a crucial test of investor appetite for China’s burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) supply chain.

The Hefei-based DRAM (dynamic random-access memory) champion has priced its offering at 8.66 yuan per share. The deal consists of 6.69 billion shares, which could expand to 7.69 billion shares if an overallotment option is exercised, according to a regulatory filing.

Industry insiders view the listing as a pivotal moment for China’s domestic technology ecosystem. For years, the global DRAM market has been dominated by a foreign triumvirate: Samsung Electronics, SK Hynix, and Micron Technology Inc. CXMT’s massive public debut represents the rise of a homegrown champion capable of challenging this oligopoly and securing a vital link in China’s domestic hardware pipeline.

The sheer scale of the IPO underscores its significance. It is on track to be the second-largest IPO in Chinese history, surpassed only by the Agricultural Bank of China’s $10 billion float in 2010. It marks Asia’s largest market debut since South Korea’s LG Energy Solution raised $10.8 billion in 2022.

Indeed, some analysts project CXMT’s post-listing market value could approach 2 trillion yuan, fueled by an estimated 100 billion yuan in net income this year.

A successful listing is expected to build strong momentum for other Chinese chip champions in the pipeline, including Yangtze Memory Technologies Co. (YMTC), Baidu’s chip unit Kunlunxin, and AI pioneer DeepSeek, which is rumored to be eyeing an IPO as early as this year.

Reflecting CXMT’s strategic importance to Beijing’s tech ambitions, half of the offering has been reserved for strategic and state-backed investors. Prominent subscribers include investment arms of the National Social Security Fund and the government-backed SOE restructuring fund, as well as Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., electric vehicle maker Nio Inc., smartphone designer Transsion Holdings, and GigaDevice Semiconductor.

In contrast, retail investors will only have access to 10% of the offering, a tighter allocation than usual for recent STAR Board listings.

Despite the optimism, the sheer size of the IPO has triggered anxiety among some market veterans. Historically, mega-listings in China have acted as contrarian indicators, arriving at the very peak of bull markets. Infamous debuts like PetroChina in late 2007 and China Mobile in 2022 preceded prolonged market downturns.

Some analysts also worry that the massive capital memory chipmakers are pouring into capacity expansions could backfire if the red-hot global AI infrastructure buildout cools, leaving the industry with excess supply and weaker returns. Nevertheless, CXMT plans to forge ahead, using the capital to double its production output and accelerate critical research.